Saturday, January 31, 2009

Monthly inventory charts

The light green bars for January 2009, the first month of the new year, show inventory is significantly up everywhere except Palms-Mar Vista. (Is it any coincidence that is the only area where conforming loans apply?) This is the growing glut that, combined with reduced buyers' assets and higher jumbo loan rates, will tip prices down this year.





70 comments:

Anonymous said...

Are the Santa Monica charts for the whole city of Santa Monica or just for the 90402 and 90403? Either way thanks for posting this - much appreciated - but there is a huge difference between SM neighborhoods.

I am looking in N Santa Monica and the following is from Wikipedia - talking about South Santa Monica

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some areas of Santa Monica have serious crime problems. The city estimates that there are fewer than 500 gang members in Santa Monica, although community organizers, such as Oscar De La Torre dispute this claim.[1] Gang activity has been prevalent for decades in the Pico neighborhood, particularly the portion of the area running roughly from 14th Street to just east of Cloverfield, and between Pico Boulevard and Colorado Ave. This war has sporadically spilled into the halls of Santa Monica High School and impacts daily life for students at Olympic High School (

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My Santa Monica inventory is MLS listings for all of the City of Santa Monica, but excludes the part of Santa Monica Canyon that is City of Los Angeles but in the Post Office's 90402.

Note also my counts are only single family (SFR) listings. The Pico neighborhood between Pico and the freeway is zoned multi-family. Occasionally an old house there is listed, usually as a "development opportunity".

Olympic High School is a "continuation" high school for dropouts from SaMo.

I've never personally encountered any gang situations, living in different Santa Monica neighborhoods.

Please, everyone, I can see this becoming another long thread about gangs. Substantive only, ok?

Anonymous said...

Samo is a gang warzone. I hear the violence has spread to the S Santa Monica elementary schools.

Anonymous said...

I think 9:44 is a troll

Don't feed the trolls

I see inventory of 3 bedroom townhouses in the 90403 is not really up - Nothing you could possibly live in for under 1.29 million

Where is the inventory? Wish we would see more sellers

Anonymous said...

There are very generally 4 Santa Monica's..

1. Sub-Monica, the Delaware and Michigan gang corridor.

2. Lower Santa Monica, the 90404-5 neighborhoods. Lower is more a geo reference than pejorative.

3. Upper Santa Monica, 90403 SFR zones, the college streets. Again geo as opposed to anything else.

4. Super Santa Monica - 90402 SFR zones. Super in demo's, prices, etc.

Gang warfare in elementary schools? Did a student wear a baseball hat the wrong way? Annoying road noise, indicates the posting of a troll.

Anonymous said...

Yeah, trolls are bad! But what about the gangs? Is Santa Monica worth investing in at all with the rampant gang warfare?

Anonymous said...

you forgot the fifth zone in Santa Monica -

Super Duper Santa Monica - this zone consists of La Mesa

La Mesa has houses on acre or two acre lots - when these houses sell they sell for more than ten million

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Anonymous said...

Anon at 7:30-
How dare you! My home hasn't dropped 30% in value in just the past few months! You must be a bitter renter! As soon as this tiny little recession ends, prices will resume their march to infinity and beyond!

Anonymous said...

"She and her husband, Bill, had been offered $2.4 million for the three-bedroom just months before, so she listed the house for $2.3 million, figuring that would make up for the lousy real estate climate. But it didn't sell until November, after the couple dropped the price to $1.9 million.

It's still a lot of money for a basic one-story house. But in Conn's wealthy neighborhood, few residents thought anything would drop below $2 million.


"I didn't believe it until the end," Conn said.

But it's true."

I could almost cry.

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This recession sucks. When is credit going to loosen back up???

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With a DTI of 30% and a rate of 8% you can get just about whatever you want. Oh, you meant loosen back up to DTIs of 70% and rates of 3%? That might take a while, check back in a decade or two.

Anonymous said...

"This recession sucks. When is credit going to loosen back up???"

There is plenty of money to loan to people who have good credit, are putting a real 20% downpayment, and are not trying to get a loan for ten times their income.

The problem isn't the credit, no matter how many times the politicians say it. The problem is that prices are still too high.

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"This recession sucks. When is credit going to loosen back up???"

There is plenty of money to loan to people who have good credit, are putting a real 20% downpayment, and are not trying to get a loan for ten times their income.

The problem isn't the credit, no matter how many times the politicians say it. The problem is that prices are still too high.

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