tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post4208340299816099173..comments2023-11-05T04:24:01.807-08:00Comments on Westside Bubble: Weekly inventory updateWestside Bubblehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03383559105050069002noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-30476097641492020552009-07-16T19:55:35.400-07:002009-07-16T19:55:35.400-07:00LOL - its 'Pullet" ie young hen, not &quo...LOL - its 'Pullet" ie young hen, not "Bullet" ie ballistic projectile.<br /><br />And as far as I can see, California's been 'demising' quite nicely without any help from this little chicken....speedingpullethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03115650690979498735noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-67845446130960292552009-07-16T17:25:37.631-07:002009-07-16T17:25:37.631-07:00speeding bullet = transplant agent..the reason for...speeding bullet = transplant agent..the reason for Californias demiseAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-88526499481985718272009-07-16T13:20:42.812-07:002009-07-16T13:20:42.812-07:00Anon 11.36 - thanks so much for the kind wishes.
...Anon 11.36 - thanks so much for the kind wishes. <br /><br />I'm stoked to move to Topanga- its been my favourite part of the Westside since we moved here in 2000.<br /><br />BTW - if you're looking to rent, there's a great place up in Greenleaf Canyon (1150, IIRC) - its very very 'country', and if we hadn't seen 'our' place first, we would have taken it. They had an open house on sunday, so it may still be available.<br /><br />If you already live there, then don't mind me!speedingpullethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03115650690979498735noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-67194589680504844842009-07-16T11:36:13.770-07:002009-07-16T11:36:13.770-07:00Hey Speeding, Annon 8.25 here! Great to hear you n...Hey Speeding, Annon 8.25 here! Great to hear you nailed the lease. We are thinking of doing the same thing, waiting then cash buy. Was just on your "new" street this morning. You are going to LOVE the new place and area. So happy to see someone else sees this very odd situation. I trust we may very well cross paths as we're up there all the time. Enjoy your summer. Bravo! What a great thing!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-47581003522529247482009-07-16T10:41:20.515-07:002009-07-16T10:41:20.515-07:00good luck speedingpullet!good luck speedingpullet!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-19421641705008908032009-07-16T09:56:36.049-07:002009-07-16T09:56:36.049-07:00Thanks Anon 8.25!
Totally agree with you on the To...Thanks Anon 8.25!<br />Totally agree with you on the Topanga propeties, esp the appraisals - bear in mind that the Canyon gets fire, flood, landlsides AND quakes on a fairly regular basis... yes, they're often 'unique', but they'll still burn/flood/fall over just like regular houses...<br /><br />And - I really can't get my head around the tactics for selling/renting at Top 'O Topanga...? some of those places have been sitting on the MLS for years, and some of the prices have come down below $400K... yet... look for rentals up there, and they'll be asking ludicrous prices! And without including the HOAs<br />$2,700 per month for what's basically a pre-fab house, while the place next door's mortgage would be less than half of the monthly rental nut... crazy.<br /><br />And, as hard as I try I can't bring myself to live in a community whose name always reminds me of a warm breakfast cereal... <i>"Oh, Cream 'o Wheat is so good to eat" ;-)</i><br /><br />Anyway, happy to say we signed the lease for a lovely place up in Fernwood on monday! Can't wait to get out of the Valley...<br /><br />We'll be cash buyers when we pull the trigger - maybe we'll be neighbours one day? :-)speedingpullethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03115650690979498735noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-83429776618807700762009-07-16T08:25:01.443-07:002009-07-16T08:25:01.443-07:00Well Speeding, I am with you there. Been watching ...Well Speeding, I am with you there. Been watching in Topanga for the past 36 months. Sellers in that area (or the agents) seem to believe that prices will hold at 07 levels without fail for shacks. Other than a handful of under 400K tract homes atop the canyon, nothing is selling. Look at some of the DOM there, with little $25K reductions every six months or so. Amazing. <br /><br />Now, much has to do with the motivation of a region's sellers. Topanga's real estate micro climate, much like Topanga's great atmospheric micro climates - Fernwood vs.Cheney areas - is very unique. Maybe up in Topanga the "creekers" can simply can wait out the troughs, from bubble to bubble. Not really sure what the thinking is, but it is truly amazing to watch, with the realtors stating, "Why there are no comps in the Topanga area, as these are all unique properties." Try that kind of rationalization on the banks' appraisers! How realtors can make a living from the scratch they must make off of the few homes they move is amazing. And despite current economic realities, there seems no comprehension of even a realistic down turn.<br /><br />What is interesting is unless you are a pure cash buyer, in any jumbo loan analysis, the banks (and the appraisers) take a hard look at the actual dwelling and square footage for valuation. ie In the event of a default can they turn it around as quickly as a SM or West LA home for example. At that point, a larger lot may be great on paper, but less attractive to write a loan on, especially where the actual home (structure) is of marginal value and condition. Somehow this point is completely missed by both sellers and agents in that Topanga market.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-63581306678183024862009-07-16T07:03:47.996-07:002009-07-16T07:03:47.996-07:00It is my understanding that there is a large volum...It is my understanding that there is a large volume of Alt A mortgages scheduled for a rate reset by the end of the year. This may lead to some 'motivated sellers'<br /><br />It is also my understanding that there is a yet another moratorium on foreclosures in place at the moment. This can only serve to create a false sense of strength in the market.<br /><br />The local economy seems to be getting weaker.<br /><br />Based on the above info, I think there will be more downside at some point. Difficult to say when.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-25835072279473951972009-07-15T08:45:26.455-07:002009-07-15T08:45:26.455-07:00"affordable is relative, I guess"
Point..."affordable is relative, I guess"<br /><br />Point well taken - and given the rising DOM, buyers are few and far between.tbgpalisadesnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-61188996745013300792009-07-14T16:31:18.174-07:002009-07-14T16:31:18.174-07:00affordable is relative, I guess.affordable is relative, I guess.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-52382330938847396692009-07-14T10:09:18.069-07:002009-07-14T10:09:18.069-07:00Oh, well - back to watching paint dry.
Oh, I'...<i>Oh, well - back to watching paint dry.</i><br /><br />Oh, I'm so with you on that....<br /><br />I'm looking for places a little further north (Topanga, east Malibu, even south Calabasas if its a 'view' property), and the DOM on some of those places is staggering<br /><br />There's one 4000 sq ft Mansion up on Mulholland with 10 acres that been on the MLS since <i>December 2006</i>. That's 929 days and counting.<br /><br />Being 'clever' sellers - they've dropped the price, then increased it again the next week - 3 times. <br /><br />Started out at $4,750K, then went to the giddy hieghts of $8,500K (yeah, riiight) and is now at the low-low bargain price of $4,500K. Three years later.<br /><br />Bought in June 06 for $2,200K, and then offered up in December 06 for $4,750..... sold in 1997 for $350k.... no 'bubble' there, then o_0<br /><br />Its probably never going to be 'affordable' for my budget, but I keep it on my ZipRealty list to remind me how slo-mo this whole crash is, especially in the Posh areas.<br /><br />Anyway, I'm happy today, as I'm off to sign a rental contract for a lovely place in Topanga! <br /><br />My nesting instinct will be dampened down for another year or so, and who knows - maybe some places in my preferred area will be cheap enough for the likes of me to buy....speedingpullethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03115650690979498735noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2983944778720243687.post-31963897495119632312009-07-14T08:54:23.514-07:002009-07-14T08:54:23.514-07:00The <$2MM in Pacific Palisades are considered &...The <$2MM in Pacific Palisades are considered 'affordable' (laughable). DOM continues to rise during the sales season. We're not at capitulation yet, but I suspect that many will be when they enter the slow fall/holiday selling season for the **second time around**.<br /><br />It's a shame that too many are not lowering prices to market clearing levels - they're only increasing the losses they'll be taking in another year or so. If you're holding on, you're the bagholder (not a lot of fun, is it?), and new buyers are wise to the reality.<br /><br />Oh, well - back to watching paint dry.tbgpalisadesnoreply@blogger.com